For a fourth consecutive season, Barcelona, Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid have progressed to the quarter-finals of the Champions League and there is a chance that either of the trio could be pitted against one another come the draw in Nyon on Friday.
In addition, Bayern Munich, AS Monaco, Juventus, Borussia Dortmund and Leicester City will also feature in the last-eight of the competition.
In the last three editions of the tournament, there has been a Spanish showdown in the quarter-finals. Despite that, the odds of it taking place again are just 42.86%, leaving a 57.14% chance that there will not be an all-Spanish showdown.
In fact, excluding this season, there have been three or more representatives from the same nation in 17 editions, eight of which have seen nation pitted against nation.
The most likely outcome on Friday is that there will be a Spain-Germany clash (68.57%).
Meanwhile, the chances of Juventus, Monaco and Leicester City drawing a Spanish opponent rests at 42.86%.
That there will be a Spain-Germany double-header only has a 17.14% chance of happening.
Probability of a Spanish confrontation: 42.86%
Probability that there will be no Spanish confrontation: 57.14%
Probability of a Spanish team playing an Italian team: 42.86%
Probability of a Spanish team playing a French team: 42.86%
Probability of a Spanish team playing an English team: 42.86%
Probability of a single Spanish tie against German: 51.43%
Probability of two eliminations Spanish against German: 17.14%
Probability of at least one Spanish-German tie: 68.57%
